SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Mon Oct 05 2020 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for severe thunderstorms will remain negligible Tuesday through Tuesday night. ...Synopsis... An amplified upper pattern with a trough in the east and a ridge in the west will persist across the CONUS on Tuesday. Warm and dry conditions are expected beneath the western ridge. Further east, deeper boundary layer moisture will remain confined to the Gulf Coast and into the southeastern Atlantic coastal vicinity. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible across Florida northeastward along the GA and SC/NC coast/near-shore waters vicinity where stronger heating will allow for weak destabilization. Low level confluence and sea breeze interactions will be the main drivers of any thunderstorm activity in these areas. Further north across the upper Great Lakes area, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the region as the upper trough pivots east/northeast through the period. Steep midlevel lapse rates and cold temperatures aloft will aid in development of shallow convection, and a few thunderstorms are possible, mainly during the afternoon into the early overnight period. ..Leitman.. 10/05/2020
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