SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1101 AM CDT Wed Oct 07 2020 Valid 071630Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Strong wind gusts are possible later today from New York into much of New England. ...Northeast... The current forecast area appears to be on track, with no changes made. A band of showers and thunderstorms is organizing from lake Ontario northeastward along the St Lawrence Valley. This activity will move quickly eastward across much of NY early this afternoon, and across much of New England through early evening. Widespread clouds are present ahead of the convection, which will limit low-level lapse rates and CAPE. It is likely that these fast-moving showers and storms will produce gusty and marginally damaging winds, but it is uncertain how prevalent the risk of 50 knot winds will be. Given the overall marginal thermodynamic environment, will maintain the ongoing MRGL risk area. Activity should move off the New England coast by mid-evening, ending the threat of gusty winds. ..Hart.. 10/07/2020
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