Day 4-8 Outlook

Day 4-8 Outlook Image

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0315 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020

Valid 131200Z - 181200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A strong mid-level westerly jet is forecast to remain confined to
parts of the northern/central CONUS through at least the middle of
next week. Greater low-level moisture will likely remain displaced
farther south, with minimal severe potential evident across the
CONUS through Day 6/Thursday. Large-scale upper trough amplification
appears possible across parts of the central/eastern CONUS by late
next week, but model differences regarding the evolution of this
upper trough are substantial. If a slower, more amplified upper
trough were to develop as some guidance suggests, then an organized
severe risk could materialize across some portion of the eastern
states around Day 7/Friday into Day 8/Saturday. However,
predictability remains far too low to include any severe
probabilities at this extended time frame.

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