SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0735 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020 Valid 110100Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE GULF STATES AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Some tornado threat continues this evening across parts of Alabama, Georgia, and northwestern South Carolina. Damaging thunderstorm winds will linger this evening across parts of northern New England. ...01z Update... Remnants of TC Delta are lifting northeast across the mid-South region where latest satellite imagery suggests this system is becoming increasingly extra tropical. Substantial mid-level drying/subsidence is spreading ahead of the main low across AL into western GA. The primary threat for deep/robust convection/lightning remains ahead of this drying. Have adjusted tornado probabilities downstream a bit across northern GA into northwest SC where a well-defined surface boundary is currently draped. This wind shift may provide the focus for additional supercell development and possibly a few weak tornadoes. Farther north across New England, strong mid-level forcing is spreading across northern New England this evening. Despite weak buoyancy across ME, recent radar data suggests some convective organization. Greatest severe threat appears to be over the next few hours with convection that is spreading east from central NH into southwest ME. Gusty winds are the main concern. ..Darrow.. 10/11/2020
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