SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook

Day 3 Outlook Image

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0208 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2020

Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A severe threat is not expected to develop across the continental
United States Sunday or Sunday night.

...DISCUSSION...
An upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward across the
central U.S. on Sunday as a cold front moves southward across the
mid Mississippi Valley and southern Plains. Ahead of the front, some
moisture return will take place from parts of east Texas into the
Arklatex. Scattered thunderstorms may develop ahead of the front
from the Arklatex northeastward into the mid Mississippi Valley. A
severe threat is not expected in this area due to weak instability.
Further south into east Texas, moderate instability is forecast to
develop by afternoon. However, convective development should remain
sparse due to a capping inversion. For storms that can develop,
deep-layer shear is not forecast to be sufficient for a severe
threat.

..Broyles.. 10/16/2020

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