SPC Oct 19, 2020 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1219 PM CDT Mon Oct 19 2020 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected across the continental United States Tuesday and Tuesday night. ...Discussion... Broad cyclonic flow aloft will remain in place over the northern half of the U.S. Tuesday. Within the larger-scale flow, a pronounced short-wave trough will move from the northern Intermountain region eastward to the Upper Great Lakes. Elsewhere, a weak upper disturbance will linger over the Florida vicinity. At the surface, a quasi-stationary baroclinic zone will remain generally in place from the southern Plains to the Lower Great Lakes region, though its position will oscillate some during the period as the aforementioned upper short-wave trough advances. In the vicinity of this front, a zone of showers and a occasional, embedded thunderstorms will persist through the period. Otherwise, showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected from Florida northeastward to the eastern Carolinas. However, the environment in both of these convective regimes will remain largely insufficient to support more vigorous convection. ..Goss.. 10/19/2020
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