Day 4-8 Outlook

Day 4-8 Outlook Image

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0328 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2020

Valid 261200Z - 311200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A positive-tilt large-scale trough over the western U.S. on Monday
will likely evolve into a closed mid-level low and meander eastward
into the southern Great Plains by the Wednesday-Thursday (day 6-7)
timeframe.  Medium-range model guidance varies on the
timing/placement of mid-level low and subsequent surface reflection
over the lower MS Valley.  Given the model predictability concerns
during the latter half of the extended period, a
predictability-too-low highlight will be maintained.  If strong
storms develop during the late Wednesday through Friday period next
week, the potential at this point would focus over the lower MS
Valley and central Gulf Coast.

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