Day 4-8 Outlook

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0319 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2020

Valid 281200Z - 021200Z

...DISCUSSION...
The primary features influencing potential for tornadoes and
damaging gusts in the extended period will be 1) tropical cyclone
Zeta impacting the central Gulf Coast and 2) its subsequent movement
as it becomes embedded within strong flow as a mid-level low over
the south-central U.S. moves eastward towards the southern
Appalachians through Thursday (day 5).  Model guidance exhibits
considerable spread during the Wednesday-Thursday period such that
the combination of uncertainty in the timing/track of Zeta and the
merging of the frontal system render predictability-too-low
highlights for the time being across the central Gulf Coast and
parts of the Southeast/Mid-Atlantic states on Thursday.  By the
latter half of the extended period, a front will probably move
offshore the Southeast and a tranquil pattern for organized severe
will likely ensue.

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