SPC Oct 25, 2020 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0319 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2020 Valid 281200Z - 021200Z ...DISCUSSION... The primary features influencing potential for tornadoes and damaging gusts in the extended period will be 1) tropical cyclone Zeta impacting the central Gulf Coast and 2) its subsequent movement as it becomes embedded within strong flow as a mid-level low over the south-central U.S. moves eastward towards the southern Appalachians through Thursday (day 5). Model guidance exhibits considerable spread during the Wednesday-Thursday period such that the combination of uncertainty in the timing/track of Zeta and the merging of the frontal system render predictability-too-low highlights for the time being across the central Gulf Coast and parts of the Southeast/Mid-Atlantic states on Thursday. By the latter half of the extended period, a front will probably move offshore the Southeast and a tranquil pattern for organized severe will likely ensue.
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