SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0726 PM CDT Thu Oct 29 2020

Valid 300100Z - 301200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS INTO SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe convective gusts and perhaps a tornado may occur
tonight from the Carolinas into southeast Virginia.

...01z Update...

Boundary-layer moisture has yet to be displaced along a pre-frontal
corridor from northern FL-Carolinas-southeast VA. This zone remains
at least somewhat favorable for deep convection ahead of a strong
short-wave trough that is ejecting across the Mid-South this
evening. Latest water-vapor imagery depicts this feature well and
the leading edge of large-scale forcing for ascent should spread
across the southern Appalachians into the Middle Atlantic over the
next several hours. Radar data suggests this is beginning to occur
with scattered convection now slowly developing from western SC into
portions of south-central VA. Will maintain low severe probabilities
for primarily a few wind gusts with the strongest convection ahead
of the short wave.

..Darrow.. 10/30/2020

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