SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0640 PM CST Sun Nov 01 2020 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Though the risk for severe weather may remain low, strong thunderstorms could still impact parts of east central Florida this evening. ...01Z Outlook Update... There has been some recent increase and intensification of thunderstorm activity around the Greater Orlando FL area. This appears to be occurring near the intersection of a southward advancing cold front and a pre-frontal convergence zone advancing eastward across the interior Florida Peninsula. It also appears that this is near the southern-most fringe of the stronger westerlies, where westerly flow in the 500-300 mb layer is strengthening to 30-50 kt. It is possible that this could support further intensification and organization southeastward into and across the Space Coast vicinity this evening. While low-level flow and shear remain generally weak, along with relatively weak lower/mid tropospheric lapse rates, heavy precipitation loading aided by inflow of seasonably high boundary-layer moisture content might still contribute to some potential for locally strong surface gusts. ..Kerr.. 11/02/2020
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