SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0640 PM CST Sun Nov 01 2020

Valid 020100Z - 021200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Though the risk for severe weather may remain low, strong
thunderstorms could still impact parts of east central Florida this
evening.

...01Z Outlook Update...
There has been some recent increase and intensification of
thunderstorm activity around the Greater Orlando FL area.  This
appears to be occurring near the intersection of a southward
advancing cold front and a pre-frontal convergence zone advancing
eastward across the interior Florida Peninsula.  It also appears
that this is near the southern-most fringe of the stronger
westerlies, where westerly flow in the 500-300 mb layer is
strengthening to 30-50 kt.  It is possible that this could support
further intensification and organization southeastward into and
across the Space Coast vicinity this evening.  While low-level flow
and shear remain generally weak, along with relatively weak
lower/mid tropospheric lapse rates, heavy precipitation loading
aided by inflow of seasonably high boundary-layer moisture content
might still contribute to some potential for locally strong surface
gusts.

..Kerr.. 11/02/2020

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