Day 4-8 Outlook

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0243 AM CST Mon Nov 02 2020

Valid 051200Z - 101200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Medium-range model guidance is in good agreement in showing the
development of a large-scale trough over the West Coast late in the
work week.  Models exhibit appreciable variability during the latter
part of the extended period in both the evolution of the large-scale
trough and the northward return of low-level moisture from the Gulf
of Mexico into the central U.S.  The risk for organized severe
thunderstorms will gradually increase during the Sunday into Monday
(days 7-8) but uncertainty is high by this timeframe.  Will opt to
describe late Sunday (day 7) through Monday (day 8) with a
predictability-too-low highlight.

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