SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CST Tue Nov 03 2020 Valid 032000Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms may occur today across parts of Arizona, eastern Nevada, and Utah. Severe thunderstorms are not expected. ...20Z Update... Very minor adjustments were made the thunder line across AZ based on the location of the shortwave trough and current lightning trends. Otherwise, previous forecast discussion (appended below) remains valid with no change in forecast reasoning. ..Mosier.. 11/03/2020 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1025 AM CST Tue Nov 03 2020/ Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to affect portions of the desert southwest today, in vicinity of a weak upper low moving across the area. Cool temperatures aloft and sufficient mid-level moisture will promote convection, but weak shear and limited CAPE will preclude organized severe storms. Otherwise, no thunderstorms are anticipated across the CONUS today.
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