SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0141 PM CST Thu Nov 05 2020 Valid 052000Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected across the contiguous U.S. through tonight. ...Discussion... No changes appear to be necessary to the ongoing convective outlook. ..Goss.. 11/05/2020 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1030 AM CST Thu Nov 05 2020/ ...Synopsis/Discussion... Thunderstorm potential through tonight will be relegated to two general areas. Across southern Florida and near the eastern Florida coast, gradual moistening will continue to occur with diurnal heating and moderate buoyancy (albeit weak mid-level lapse rates) contributing to thunderstorm potential. In the West, an upper trough will dig southeastward and approach coastal portions of Oregon/northern California tonight. As a frontal band approaches and moves inland, thermodynamic profiles will trend more favorable late tonight (09-12Z) for the possibility of low-topped convection capable of lightning.
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