SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM CST Sun Nov 08 2020 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE SOUTH-CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A tornado risk will exist across South Florida and the Florida Keys on Monday. A few thunderstorms capable of hail and strong wind gusts will be possible across the south-central Plains Monday evening into the overnight. ...South Florida and the Florida Keys... Current Tropical Storm Eta is expected to further intensify as it approaches the Florida Keys late tonight and early Monday. Reference the National Hurricane Center for the latest forecast details. Eta-periphery low-level winds will likely be maximized across the Florida Keys and South Florida early Monday. Some questions remain regarding the exact degree of destabilization particularly away from the coast and with northward extent across the Florida Peninsula, with the greatest overlap of low-level shear/SRH and buoyancy expected across the Florida Keys and far southern Florida Peninsula. Some potential for a couple of tornadoes will exist particularly in these areas during the morning and possibly into the afternoon, before likely diminishing by Monday night. ...South-Central Plains/Lower Missouri Valley... An upper-level trough will amplify and carve southeastward over the northern Plains and from the Four Corners area toward the central/southern Plains Monday and Monday night. An associated cold front will advance east/southeastward across the Upper Midwest and a broad portion of the central/southern Plains. A modest influx of low-level moisture will occur in advance of the front. It appears that steepening mid-level lapse rates and sufficient low-level moisture/buoyancy may become sufficient for some stronger storms by Monday evening, mainly across southern/eastern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. Marginally severe hail and gusty thunderstorms winds will be a possibility as storms increase across the region Monday evening into the overnight. ..Guyer.. 11/08/2020
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