SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1130 AM CST Sun Nov 08 2020

Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN
FLORIDA AND THE SOUTH-CENTRAL PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
A tornado risk will exist across South Florida and the Florida Keys
on Monday. A few thunderstorms capable of hail and strong wind gusts
will be possible across the south-central Plains Monday evening into
the overnight.

...South Florida and the Florida Keys...
Current Tropical Storm Eta is expected to further intensify as it
approaches the Florida Keys late tonight and early Monday. Reference
the National Hurricane Center for the latest forecast details.
Eta-periphery low-level winds will likely be maximized across the
Florida Keys and South Florida early Monday. Some questions remain
regarding the exact degree of destabilization particularly away from
the coast and with northward extent across the Florida Peninsula,
with the greatest overlap of low-level shear/SRH and buoyancy
expected across the Florida Keys and far southern Florida Peninsula.
Some potential for a couple of tornadoes will exist particularly in
these areas during the morning and possibly into the afternoon,
before likely diminishing by Monday night.

...South-Central Plains/Lower Missouri Valley...
An upper-level trough will amplify and carve southeastward over the
northern Plains and from the Four Corners area toward the
central/southern Plains Monday and Monday night. An associated cold
front will advance east/southeastward across the Upper Midwest and a
broad portion of the central/southern Plains. A modest influx of
low-level moisture will occur in advance of the front. It appears
that steepening mid-level lapse rates and sufficient low-level
moisture/buoyancy may become sufficient for some stronger storms by
Monday evening, mainly across southern/eastern Kansas and northern
Oklahoma. Marginally severe hail and gusty thunderstorms winds will
be a possibility as storms increase across the region Monday evening
into the overnight.

..Guyer.. 11/08/2020

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