SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Outlook Image

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1138 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2020

Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected Friday or Friday night.

...Synopsis...
A progressive large-scale pattern will exist over the CONUS on
Friday, with richer low-level moisture relegated to southern Florida
and central/southern Texas. Thunderstorm potential will be spatially
confined to just a few areas Friday/Friday night, with severe
thunderstorm potential currently expected to be virtually nil. 

...South-central Plains/Lower Missouri Valley...
The potential for thunderstorms is expected to increase Friday night
after sunset, initially across parts of southern/eastern Kansas,
Oklahoma, and western North Texas. This elevated thunderstorm
development will be related to increasing warm/moist advection atop
a cold/stable boundary layer to the north of a southern Plains warm
front. Thunderstorms may develop as far east-northeast as much of
Missouri/northern Arkansas overnight. Severe thunderstorms are
unlikely as quantities of elevated moisture/buoyancy are expected be
too meager for meaningful hail production.

...Coastal Oregon/Washington...
An amplifying shortwave trough and related frontal band are expected
to develop inland across the region Friday afternoon. While a
stronger low-topped thunderstorm or two near coastal portions of
Oregon/southwest Washington cannot be ruled out Friday afternoon,
the potential for severe thunderstorms currently appears low.

..Guyer.. 11/12/2020

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