SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1021 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2020

Valid 121630Z - 131200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF
THE EASTERN CAROLINAS...

...SUMMARY...
A few strong to severe storms are possible this afternoon across the
eastern Carolinas.

...NC/SC...
The remnants of Eta are tracking northeastward over southeast GA. 
Ahead of this system, widespread showers and occasional
thunderstorms are affecting the Carolinas in advance of an
approaching upper trough.  Recent radar/observational trends show a
surface cold front surging southward across NC.  This feature is
effectively narrowing the corridor of any risk of strong/severe
storms to the coastal counties.  Even here, widespread clouds will
limit destabilization and minimize the risk.  Nevertheless, vertical
shear profiles are sufficiently strong to pose some risk of
gusty/damaging wind gusts or a brief tornado if storm-scale rotation
can become established.  The primary threat should end by late
afternoon as the surging cold front moves offshore.

..Hart/Cook.. 11/12/2020

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