SPC Nov 12, 2020 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1021 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2020 Valid 121630Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... A few strong to severe storms are possible this afternoon across the eastern Carolinas. ...NC/SC... The remnants of Eta are tracking northeastward over southeast GA. Ahead of this system, widespread showers and occasional thunderstorms are affecting the Carolinas in advance of an approaching upper trough. Recent radar/observational trends show a surface cold front surging southward across NC. This feature is effectively narrowing the corridor of any risk of strong/severe storms to the coastal counties. Even here, widespread clouds will limit destabilization and minimize the risk. Nevertheless, vertical shear profiles are sufficiently strong to pose some risk of gusty/damaging wind gusts or a brief tornado if storm-scale rotation can become established. The primary threat should end by late afternoon as the surging cold front moves offshore. ..Hart/Cook.. 11/12/2020
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