Day 4-8 Outlook

Day 4-8 Outlook Image

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0300 AM CST Sat Nov 28 2020

Valid 011200Z - 061200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Minimal severe potential is expected across the CONUS on both Day
4/Tuesday and Day 5/Wednesday, as offshore low-level trajectories
should be maintained over the majority of the Gulf of Mexico and
western Atlantic. By late next week, there is some disagreement in
medium-range guidance regarding the possible development and
subsequent evolution of an upper trough/low over the central/eastern
states. Depending on how much low-level moisture return occurs ahead
of this feature, there might be some low-end severe potential across
parts of the central Gulf Coast and perhaps FL from Day 6/Thursday
into Day 7/Friday. But, low predictability in the synoptic-scale
pattern and weak forecast instability preclude any 15% severe
probabilities at this extended time frame.

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