SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0650 PM CST Mon Nov 30 2020 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A couple of damaging wind gusts, and perhaps a brief tornado, remain possible this evening across southern New England. ...Discussion... Stronger convection, which earlier affected portions of the Mid Atlantic region (including isolated severe storms) has now moved off the New Jersey coast. From here forward, the most active convection -- including isolated/embedded thunderstorms -- will occur over southern New England and Long Island. Current indications (evening RAOBs and model point forecast soundings) are that the boundary layer remains stable, and increasingly so with northward extent. As such, potential for convective wind gusts at the surface and/or a brief tornado touchdown will remain limited/local the remainder of the period. Still, to cover this potential, MRGL risk will be maintained, as the surface low occludes just to the west of this region (NY) overnight. ..Goss.. 12/01/2020
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