SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0650 PM CST Mon Nov 30 2020

Valid 010100Z - 011200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND AND VICINITY...

...SUMMARY...
A couple of damaging wind gusts, and perhaps a brief tornado, remain
possible this evening across southern New England.

...Discussion...
Stronger convection, which earlier affected portions of the Mid
Atlantic region (including isolated severe storms) has now moved off
the New Jersey coast.  From here forward, the most active convection
-- including isolated/embedded thunderstorms -- will occur over
southern New England and Long Island.  

Current indications (evening RAOBs and model point forecast
soundings) are that the boundary layer remains stable, and
increasingly so with northward extent.  As such, potential for
convective wind gusts at the surface and/or a brief tornado
touchdown will remain limited/local the remainder of the period. 
Still, to cover this potential, MRGL risk will be maintained, as the
surface low occludes just to the west of this region (NY) overnight.

..Goss.. 12/01/2020

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