SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1030 AM CST Thu Dec 03 2020 Valid 031630Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for severe thunderstorms is low across the U.S. through tonight. ...Gulf Coast... A highly amplified large-scale pattern will persist through tonight, including a slow eastward evolution of a currently closed trough over the Ozarks toward the Mid-South through tonight. In association with richer moisture, scattered thunderstorms are expected to be most common over the open Gulf of Mexico waters off of Louisiana/Mississippi/Alabama and eventually off the Florida Panhandle tonight, but a few thunderstorms will also be possible over inland areas of the region this afternoon and tonight in vicinity of a northward-extending surface trough. Organized severe storms are unlikely. While a stronger storm or two could conceivably occur near coastal Louisiana (Plaquemines Parish) or near coastal parts of Mississippi/Alabama this evening into the overnight, latest thinking continues to be that inland destabilization will be limited and that the stronger/more organized storms will likely remain offshore through late tonight. ..Guyer.. 12/03/2020
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