SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0142 PM CST Tue Jan 05 2021 Valid 052000Z - 061200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected today. ...Discussion... No changes to the ongoing outlook are being made in this update. ..Goss.. 01/05/2021 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1021 AM CST Tue Jan 05 2021/ ...SC... An intense mid/upper jet is moving eastward across the Carolinas today, with an area of enhanced lift tracking over the region. The pockets of coldest temperatures aloft are beginning to move offshore, and 12z model guidance suggests that re-development of showers behind the system will be quite isolated. While there is a chance of a few lightning flashes over SC later today, the risk does not appear to warrant a 10% thunderstorm outlook.
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