SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1114 PM CST Thu Jan 07 2021

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z


Thunder probabilities will remain low during the day1 period.


Extensive cloudiness and broad off-continent flow will be noted
through the day1 period. As a result, minimal buoyancy will preclude
any significant thunderstorm threat. However, strong large-scale
forcing for ascent is expected to spread across southern OR/northern
CA into the Great Basin later today. Weak elevated convection should
be noted within the exit region of a 95kt 500 mb jet that should dig
into NV during the afternoon. Forecast soundings suggest adequate
mid-level moistening for convection north of the jet. While a flash
of lightning can not be ruled out, probabilities for thunderstorms
should remain less than 10 percent.

..Darrow/Bentley.. 01/08/2021

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