SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1025 AM CST Tue Jan 26 2021

Valid 261630Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE INTO COASTAL GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA...

...SUMMARY...
A few strong to marginally severe thunderstorm gusts are possible
today through tonight over parts of the Southeast, and a tornado
cannot be ruled out.

...FL/AL/GA/SC...
Deep southwesterly tropospheric flow is present today over much of
the eastern CONUS, with the primary mid level jet extending from TX
into the upper OH Valley.  A surface boundary extends from southern
SC southwestward into parts of southern GA, southeast AL, and the FL
panhandle.  A moist and marginally unstable air mass remains along
and south of the boundary, with a few breaks in the clouds possible
this afternoon.  This will provide sufficient CAPE and forcing for
scattered afternoon thunderstorms across the MRGL risk area.  Flow
fields are strong but veered.  This would suggest that locally
gusty/damaging winds are the main concern, although an isolated
tornado is possible.

Mid level heights will rise slightly this evening in between
systems, before the next upper trough begins to approach AL/FL
panhandle late tonight.  Low level winds will strengthen before dawn
in this area, with the potential for redevelopment of a few
thunderstorms - with some risk of gusty/damaging wind or an isolated
tornado.

..Hart.. 01/26/2021

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