SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0957 AM CST Wed Jan 27 2021

Valid 271630Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms will pose a marginal severe-weather threat today
across southern Georgia and northern Florida.

...FL/GA...
Morning surface analysis shows a boundary extending from the FL
panhandle east-northeastward to the GA coast.  Scattered showers and
occasional thunderstorms have been occurring in vicinity of this
boundary, including a few rotating/bowing structures.  Local VAD
profiles suggest that low level winds are relatively veered,
limiting the convergence along the boundary and the near-surface
vertical shear profiles.  Abundant cloud cover will also likely
persist through the day, limiting substantial destabilization.  CAM
solutions suggest that deep convection will track across southern
GA/northern FL through the afternoon. A severe storm or two is
possible in this corridor, with locally damaging wind gusts the main
threat.  An isolated tornado is also possible, but the overall
severe threat appears to remain marginal.

..Hart.. 01/27/2021

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