SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0639 PM CST Fri Jan 29 2021

Valid 300100Z - 301200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm potential will shift into the southern and central
Plains later tonight.

...01z Update...

Strong upper trough is shifting east across the lower CO River
Valley this evening. A few flashes of lightning may yet be noted
with weak convection within the trough for the next few hours. 00z
sounding from VEF exhibited a few hundred J/kg SBCAPE but the loss
of diurnal heating should lessen the lightning threat soon.

Later tonight, LLJ will increase across western OK into eastern KS.
Isolated thunderstorms are currently noted within the warm conveyor
over southeast NM and this activity should spread northeast into the
TX South Plains in the next few hours. Later tonight, low-level warm
advection should contribute to a more concentrated corridor of
convection from the eastern TX Panhandle-western OK-south-central
KS. Buoyancy will be too weak to warrant any meaningful threat for
severe.

..Darrow.. 01/30/2021

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