SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0658 PM CST Wed Feb 03 2021

Valid 040100Z - 041200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms remain possible from western Colorado into
northern New Mexico until mid evening. Isolated thunderstorms are
also possible late tonight and early Thursday morning from northern
Missouri into southern Iowa.

...Western Colorado through northern New Mexico...

Scattered showers continue developing from northeast through western
CO along a southeast-advancing cold front and within band of ascent
associated with a progressive shortwave trough. A few thunderstorms
remain possible with this activity until around mid-evening. 

...Middle Missouri Valley region...

Weak destabilization is expected tonight within an evolving warm
advection regime associated with a strengthening low-level jet.
MUCAPE from 100-300 J/kg is possible across a portion of northern MO
into southern IA. An increase in showers with bases rooted near 750
mb is expected late tonight in this region, where instability in the
convective layer might become sufficient for a few lightning
flashes.

..Dial.. 02/04/2021

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