SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1027 AM CST Thu Feb 04 2021 Valid 041630Z - 051200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized thunderstorms are not anticipated today. ...MO... A broad upper trough continues to dig into the central US, with a cold front moving through northern MO. Scattered thunderstorms occurred earlier over southern/central MO in a warm-advection region ahead of the front. However, that area of lift has shifted eastward and out of the region. Model solutions suggest that scattered showers will re-develop along/ahead of the front this afternoon over the same general area. However, forecast soundings indicate very weak CAPE profiles that lend doubt that storms can become tall enough for charge separation. While isolated lightning flashes are possible across parts of IA/IL/MO today, coverage appears too low to warrant a TSTM outlook area. ..Hart.. 02/04/2021
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