SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CST Fri Feb 05 2021

Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are not expected on Sunday.

...Synopsis...

The shortwave upper trough over the Southeast will pivot northeast
on Sunday. At the surface, a cold front will extend southwest from a
low off the Mid-Atlantic coast to the central FL peninsula and into
the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Showers and thunderstorms will likely be
ongoing near the front across central FL. Ahead of the front, cloud
cover and poor lapse rates will limit stronger destabilization, with
forecast soundings indicating around 1000 J/kg MLCAPE across south
FL before the upper trough axis shifts northeast. Forcing will
weaken with time and southward extent, as will effective shear.
While a strong storm or two are possible in the vicinity of the
front, severe potential appears limited at this time.

..Leitman.. 02/05/2021

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