SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0640 AM CST Fri Feb 05 2021

Valid 051300Z - 061200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms will be possible today from central through
southeast Texas and southern Louisiana.

...Synopsis...
Broad cyclonic flow will encompass the majority of the CONUS, along
with a relatively dry/stable air mass in the low levels.  Within the
broader cyclonic flow, and embedded speed max will move from TX
eastward over the Gulf coast, along and just north of a slow-moving
front across the northwest/north central Gulf of Mexico shelf
waters.  Sufficient moistening atop the frontal surface (near 850
mb) will support a few elevated thunderstorms today from central
into southeast TX/southern LA.  Farther east, a modest warm sector
will establish ahead of the front from the FL Panhandle into south
GA.  However, only low-topped convective showers are expected across
this area, since buoyancy should remain too shallow for mixed
phase/charge separation.

..Thompson/Broyles.. 02/05/2021

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