SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1023 AM CST Fri Feb 05 2021

Valid 051630Z - 061200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms will be possible today across parts of the Gulf
Coast and Southeast states.

...TX/LA...
Morning water vapor imagery shows a shortwave trough moving across
central TX.  a cluster of elevated showers and a few thunderstorms
are noted in association with this system.  This activity will
likely persist through the afternoon and spread eastward into
southeast TX and eventually into LA this evening.  Weak CAPE and a
cool/stable near-surface layer should preclude severe storms.

...FL/GA...
A weak surface cold front is sagging into parts of GA and the FL
Panhandle today, with scattered showers occurring along/ahead of the
boundary.  Weak but sufficient CAPE will develop in this region to
pose some risk of isolated thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.
 Present indications are that lightning activity will be rather
sparse.

...South FL...
Late tonight, southeasterly low-level flow will transport 60s
dewpoints and weak instability into south FL.  This may lead to a
few thunderstorms mainly after 06z.

..Hart/Lyons.. 02/05/2021

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