SPC Feb 6, 2021 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CST Sat Feb 06 2021 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A broad upper trough will persist across much of the CONUS on Monday. A series of shortwave impulses will pivot across the Plains, inducing weak surface low development over OK/TX. This low will develop eastward toward AR/LA, while a cold front dives south across the southern Plains. As the low shifts east, a warm front will lift northward across northern Gulf of Mexico and Florida, stalling near the coast, from southern LA to northern FL. Widespread showers and a few elevated thunderstorms will impact the central Gulf Coast/Southeast vicinity in this warm advection regime late in the period. However, weak forcing for ascent in the warm sector across south FL, and modest buoyancy in the warm advection regime will limit severe thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/06/2021
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