SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1121 PM CST Sat Feb 06 2021 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE CENTRAL PART OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong storms are possible across central Florida this morning. ...Synopsis... Broad, strong cyclonic mid-level flow will encompass much of the area from the Rockies east to the Atlantic coast. Embedded within the base of the larger-scale trough, a strong shortwave disturbance will quickly move from the southern Appalachians into the coastal waters east of the Mid-Atlantic states by mid afternoon. An accompanying surface low initially near the NC Outer Banks will quickly develop northeastward and deepen before reaching the Canadian maritimes by early Monday morning. ...FL Peninsula... A cold front will be draped across the central part of the FL Peninsula this morning with showers and thunderstorms in the vicinity of the boundary/aggregate convective outflow. A conditional risk for a few weakly rotating storms may linger through the morning across central portions of the Peninsula before large-scale support from the departing upper system begins to substantially wane. Isolated damaging gusts or a tornado could accompany the strongest storms. By the early afternoon as the front pushes south, storm coverage/intensity will likely lower as remnant thunderstorm activity moves into the southern part of the peninsula. ..Smith/Karstens.. 02/07/2021
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