SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1121 PM CST Sat Feb 06 2021

Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE CENTRAL
PART OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...

...SUMMARY...
A couple of strong storms are possible across central Florida this
morning.

...Synopsis...
Broad, strong cyclonic mid-level flow will encompass much of the
area from the Rockies east to the Atlantic coast.  Embedded within
the base of the larger-scale trough, a strong shortwave disturbance
will quickly move from the southern Appalachians into the coastal
waters east of the Mid-Atlantic states by mid afternoon.  An
accompanying surface low initially near the NC Outer Banks will
quickly develop northeastward and deepen before reaching the
Canadian maritimes by early Monday morning.

...FL Peninsula...
A cold front will be draped across the central part of the FL
Peninsula this morning with showers and thunderstorms in the
vicinity of the boundary/aggregate convective outflow.  A
conditional risk for a few weakly rotating storms may linger through
the morning across central portions of the Peninsula before
large-scale support from the departing upper system begins to
substantially wane.  Isolated damaging gusts or a tornado could
accompany the strongest storms.  By the early afternoon as the front
pushes south, storm coverage/intensity will likely lower as remnant
thunderstorm activity moves into the southern part of the peninsula.

..Smith/Karstens.. 02/07/2021

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