SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Outlook Image

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1140 PM CST Sat Feb 06 2021

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are not expected on Monday.

...Synopsis...

A broad upper trough will envelop most of the CONUS on Monday.
Embedded within larger-scale flow, a shortwave trough will eject
eastward from the southern Rockies/northern Mexico to the Southeast.
As the shortwave ejects into the southern Plains, the low level mass
response will result in strong warm advection and increasing
low/midlevel south/southwesterly flow across the Gulf of
Mexico/southeastern U.S. A stalled boundary extending from southern
FL westward across the central Gulf will retreat northward as a warm
front, becoming positioned near the Gulf coast and northern FL by
Tuesday morning. Meanwhile, a cold front will dive southward across
the southern Plains, extending from southern AR into central TX by
the end of the period.

Instability will remain meager across the Gulf coast vicinity for
much of the period as an antecedent dry airmass will be in place.
However, low and midlevel moisture will increase through the period
in response to strengthening low level south/southwesterly flow.
Showers and a few elevated thunderstorms are possible north of the
warm front in isentropic ascent, mainly Monday evening into the
overnight hours across portions of the Gulf coast vicinity.

..Leitman.. 02/07/2021

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