SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1140 PM CST Sat Feb 06 2021 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A broad upper trough will envelop most of the CONUS on Monday. Embedded within larger-scale flow, a shortwave trough will eject eastward from the southern Rockies/northern Mexico to the Southeast. As the shortwave ejects into the southern Plains, the low level mass response will result in strong warm advection and increasing low/midlevel south/southwesterly flow across the Gulf of Mexico/southeastern U.S. A stalled boundary extending from southern FL westward across the central Gulf will retreat northward as a warm front, becoming positioned near the Gulf coast and northern FL by Tuesday morning. Meanwhile, a cold front will dive southward across the southern Plains, extending from southern AR into central TX by the end of the period. Instability will remain meager across the Gulf coast vicinity for much of the period as an antecedent dry airmass will be in place. However, low and midlevel moisture will increase through the period in response to strengthening low level south/southwesterly flow. Showers and a few elevated thunderstorms are possible north of the warm front in isentropic ascent, mainly Monday evening into the overnight hours across portions of the Gulf coast vicinity. ..Leitman.. 02/07/2021
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