SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1122 AM CST Mon Feb 08 2021 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Tuesday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A weak shortwave trough will move eastward across the Southeast on Tuesday, as large-scale upper troughing is maintained over much of the CONUS and Canada. A surface high centered over the northern Plains and Upper Midwest will support generally stable conditions away from the Gulf Coast and FL. A weak surface boundary in place across the FL Panhandle and southern GA vicinity should develop only very slowly northward through Tuesday afternoon. Modest ascent associated with the shortwave trough will support isolated to perhaps widely scattered thunderstorms over southern AL, the FL Panhandle, and southern GA through the day. Forecast soundings across this region show low potential for surface-based storms, as instability should remain generally weak and elevated owing to poor low and mid-level lapse rates. This weak instability will likely limit the overall severe risk, even though deep-layer shear will be relatively strong. ..Gleason.. 02/08/2021
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