SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Outlook Image

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1122 AM CST Mon Feb 08 2021

Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Tuesday.

...Synopsis and Discussion...
A weak shortwave trough will move eastward across the Southeast on
Tuesday, as large-scale upper troughing is maintained over much of
the CONUS and Canada. A surface high centered over the northern
Plains and Upper Midwest will support generally stable conditions
away from the Gulf Coast and FL. A weak surface boundary in place
across the FL Panhandle and southern GA vicinity should develop only
very slowly northward through Tuesday afternoon. Modest ascent
associated with the shortwave trough will support isolated to
perhaps widely scattered thunderstorms over southern AL, the FL
Panhandle, and southern GA through the day. Forecast soundings
across this region show low potential for surface-based storms, as
instability should remain generally weak and elevated owing to poor
low and mid-level lapse rates. This weak instability will likely
limit the overall severe risk, even though deep-layer shear will be
relatively strong.

..Gleason.. 02/08/2021

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