SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0152 PM CST Mon Feb 08 2021

Valid 082000Z - 091200Z


Severe storms are not expected through tonight.

...20Z Update...
The only change to the outlook has been to remove parts of south FL
and the FL Keys from the general thunderstorm area, where convective
development appears unlikely through the end of the period.

..Gleason.. 02/08/2021

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1026 AM CST Mon Feb 08 2021/

Weak elevated warm advection across the Gulf Coast states, in
advance of a weak cyclonic disturbance embedded within broader
longwave cyclonic flow covering the U.S., will result in weak
destabilization across this region.  As a result, elevated
convection -- including a few thunderstorms -- may evolve across the
central Gulf Coastal region overnight.

Meanwhile, presence of a weak/remnant surface front over south
Florida, which will gradually drift northward in response to the
approaching/weak upper disturbance, will continue to focus showers,
and possibly a couple of thunderstorms over portions of the Florida
Peninsula and adjacent offshore waters.

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