SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 PM CST Mon Feb 08 2021 Valid 082000Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected through tonight. ...20Z Update... The only change to the outlook has been to remove parts of south FL and the FL Keys from the general thunderstorm area, where convective development appears unlikely through the end of the period. ..Gleason.. 02/08/2021 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1026 AM CST Mon Feb 08 2021/ ...Discussion... Weak elevated warm advection across the Gulf Coast states, in advance of a weak cyclonic disturbance embedded within broader longwave cyclonic flow covering the U.S., will result in weak destabilization across this region. As a result, elevated convection -- including a few thunderstorms -- may evolve across the central Gulf Coastal region overnight. Meanwhile, presence of a weak/remnant surface front over south Florida, which will gradually drift northward in response to the approaching/weak upper disturbance, will continue to focus showers, and possibly a couple of thunderstorms over portions of the Florida Peninsula and adjacent offshore waters.
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