SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0639 PM CST Mon Feb 08 2021

Valid 090100Z - 091200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are not expected through tonight.

...Synopsis...
Water-vapor imagery this evening indicates a couple of weak
mid-level perturbations are moving across east from the northwest
Gulf of Mexico and the Arklatex.  These minor disturbances will move
east across the central Gulf Coast states tonight.  Southerly
low-level flow from the Gulf inland into parts of LA, MS, AL, and
the FL Panhandle will contribute to gradual moistening atop a
relatively cool near-surface layer.  The 12z to the 00z Slidell, LA
raob change depicted this process quite well and it is expected to
continue into the overnight.  Weak elevated instability and a
gradual increase in shower/isolated thunderstorm activity is
expected over the central Gulf Coast tonight.  A stronger storm or
two could yield small hail given the strength of shear and 500-1000
J/kg MUCAPE.  

Farther southeast, a few thunderstorms could linger near the FL east
coast this evening but most of the activity will probably occur east
over the Gulf Stream.  Elsewhere, quiescent conditions will prevail
for much of the Lower 48.

..Smith.. 02/09/2021

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