SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0639 PM CST Mon Feb 08 2021 Valid 090100Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... Water-vapor imagery this evening indicates a couple of weak mid-level perturbations are moving across east from the northwest Gulf of Mexico and the Arklatex. These minor disturbances will move east across the central Gulf Coast states tonight. Southerly low-level flow from the Gulf inland into parts of LA, MS, AL, and the FL Panhandle will contribute to gradual moistening atop a relatively cool near-surface layer. The 12z to the 00z Slidell, LA raob change depicted this process quite well and it is expected to continue into the overnight. Weak elevated instability and a gradual increase in shower/isolated thunderstorm activity is expected over the central Gulf Coast tonight. A stronger storm or two could yield small hail given the strength of shear and 500-1000 J/kg MUCAPE. Farther southeast, a few thunderstorms could linger near the FL east coast this evening but most of the activity will probably occur east over the Gulf Stream. Elsewhere, quiescent conditions will prevail for much of the Lower 48. ..Smith.. 02/09/2021
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