SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0126 PM CST Tue Feb 09 2021 Valid 092000Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... A few thunderstorms remain possible this afternoon over northern Florida and far southern Georgia. General thunderstorm chances are expected to gradually diminish this afternoon across northern Florida and southern Georgia as the larger-scale lift quickly shifts eastward/offshore. ..Jewell.. 02/09/2021 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1029 AM CST Tue Feb 09 2021/ ...Northern Florida/southern Georgia... Scattered thunderstorms will continue across northern Florida and far southern Georgia through the afternoon near and north of west/east-oriented boundary, while the potential for warm-sector thunderstorm development is expected to remain low over inland areas given limited forcing for ascent/convergence south of the boundary. As per the 12Z Jacksonville FL observed sounding, sufficient instability (slightly elevated in nature over inland areas) and relatively long hodographs may support a few strong storms across northern Florida and possibly extreme southern Georgia today. However, relatively weak mid-level lapse rates should limit the potential for severe-caliber hail, with damaging wind potential also expected to remain minimal as well given existing cloud cover and a semi-cool boundary layer inland.
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