SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0126 PM CST Tue Feb 09 2021

Valid 092000Z - 101200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms remain possible this afternoon over northern
Florida and far southern Georgia.

General thunderstorm chances are expected to gradually diminish this
afternoon across northern Florida and southern Georgia as the
larger-scale lift quickly shifts eastward/offshore.

..Jewell.. 02/09/2021

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1029 AM CST Tue Feb 09 2021/

...Northern Florida/southern Georgia...
Scattered thunderstorms will continue across northern Florida and
far southern Georgia through the afternoon near and north of
west/east-oriented boundary, while the potential for warm-sector
thunderstorm development is expected to remain low over inland areas
given limited forcing for ascent/convergence south of the boundary.
As per the 12Z Jacksonville FL observed sounding, sufficient
instability (slightly elevated in nature over inland areas) and
relatively long hodographs may support a few strong storms across
northern Florida and possibly extreme southern Georgia today.
However, relatively weak mid-level lapse rates should limit the
potential for severe-caliber hail, with damaging wind potential also
expected to remain minimal as well given existing cloud cover and a
semi-cool boundary layer inland.

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