SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Outlook Image

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1252 AM CST Thu Feb 18 2021

Valid 191200Z - 201200Z


Isolated thunderstorms may occur Friday across the Florida Peninsula
and coastal Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina. Organized
severe thunderstorms appear unlikely at this time.

...Florida Peninsula...
A surface cold front will move southeastward across much of the FL
Peninsula on Friday as a large-scale upper trough moves from the MS
Valley across much of the eastern CONUS. Large-scale ascent
associated with this upper trough is forecast to mostly lag behind
the cold front. With only weak low-level convergence expected along
the front, showers and isolated thunderstorms may still occur.
Somewhat enhanced low/mid-level flow could potentially foster some
storm organization. However, mid-level lapse rates should remain
very poor, which will likely limit both instability and updraft
intensity. Although a very isolated strong wind gust cannot be
completely ruled out across some part of the central FL Peninsula,
the overall severe potential still appears too conditional/low to
include any probabilities at this time.

..Gleason.. 02/18/2021

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