SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Outlook Image

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1252 AM CST Thu Feb 18 2021

Valid 191200Z - 201200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms may occur Friday across the Florida Peninsula
and coastal Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina. Organized
severe thunderstorms appear unlikely at this time.

...Florida Peninsula...
A surface cold front will move southeastward across much of the FL
Peninsula on Friday as a large-scale upper trough moves from the MS
Valley across much of the eastern CONUS. Large-scale ascent
associated with this upper trough is forecast to mostly lag behind
the cold front. With only weak low-level convergence expected along
the front, showers and isolated thunderstorms may still occur.
Somewhat enhanced low/mid-level flow could potentially foster some
storm organization. However, mid-level lapse rates should remain
very poor, which will likely limit both instability and updraft
intensity. Although a very isolated strong wind gust cannot be
completely ruled out across some part of the central FL Peninsula,
the overall severe potential still appears too conditional/low to
include any probabilities at this time.

..Gleason.. 02/18/2021

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