SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0636 PM CST Thu Feb 18 2021 Valid 190100Z - 191200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... A few thunderstorms remain possible through tonight from northern Florida into southern Georgia, but severe weather is not expected. ...Discussion... A cold front currently extends from southeast GA into northern FL, and will continue to drift south though tonight. South of the boundary, daytime head has led to around 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. Strong southwest winds aloft will persist through the period, with subtle height falls late as an upper trough moves across the lower MS Valley. As the night progresses, SBCAPE is expected to weaken, though elevated instability will remain near and south of the sagging front. While lingering showers and a few thunderstorms remain possible from northern FL into southwest GA, severe storms are not expected due to limited instability and weak overall lift. ..Jewell.. 02/19/2021
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