SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0700 AM CST Fri Feb 19 2021

Valid 191300Z - 201200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A couple of strong storms could occur today across the central
Florida Peninsula, but the potential for organized severe
thunderstorms should remain low.

...Synopsis/Discussion...
A phasing of multiple shortwave troughs will continue over the upper
Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States through tonight. A
related cold front will make a southeastward progression across the
Florida Peninsula today, with scattered bands of showers ongoing
early today in vicinity of the front. Although mid-level lapse rates
will remain weak, moderate heating ahead of the front should allow
for the development of thunderstorms, with some degree of
intensification into afternoon. A couple of strong storms could
occur mainly across the east-central Florida Peninsula, but the
organized severe potential is currently expected to remain low.

In the West, a shortwave trough will move inland late tonight over
southwest Oregon and northern California. This will include the
possibility for isolated thunderstorms along the northern California
coast and offshore waters.

..Guyer/Smith.. 02/19/2021

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