SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0653 PM CST Mon Feb 22 2021 Valid 230100Z - 231200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... A couple thunderstorms remain possible across portions of the Florida Peninsula through tonight. ...Synopsis... A cold front has moved offshore across much of the Mid Atlantic Coastline, diminishing thunderstorm chances across the area. Farther south across FL, a diffuse cold front continues to slowly sag southward across central portions of the Peninsula. While the 00Z TBW modified sounding samples up to 400 J/kg MUCAPE, weak convergence has resulted in little thunderstorm development so far. With the upper trough and associated surface lee trough ejecting out into the Atlantic, away from the Florida Peninsula, deep-layer ascent is expected to only weaken with time. As such, the general thunder area across FL has been constricted to the immediate vicinity of strongest low-level convergence with the cold front, and where some buoyancy (albeit mediocre) remains in place. ..Squitieri.. 02/23/2021
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