SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Outlook Image

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1115 PM CST Sun Feb 28 2021

Valid 021200Z - 031200Z


Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Tuesday.


A compact upper low/shortwave trough over the southern Plains will
pivot eastward toward the southern Appalachians by Wednesday
morning. Moderate deep layer southwesterly flow will maintain a warm
advection regime across the central/eastern Gulf coast vicinity. At
the surface, a weak low is expected to develop east/northeast across
the northern Gulf, just offshore from southeast LA and southern
MS/AL before tracking across northern FL late in the period. A warm
front will likely remain offshore, perhaps hugging coastal portions
of the FL Panhandle, while a cold front sweeps east/southeast into
across the western and central Gulf. Thunderstorms are expected near
and north of the warm front, but this activity should largely remain
elevated. Instability will be weak near the FL Panhandle and
surface-based storm development appears unlikely, precluding severe
probabilities at this time.

..Leitman.. 03/01/2021

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