SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1115 PM CST Sun Feb 28 2021 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Tuesday. ...Synopsis... A compact upper low/shortwave trough over the southern Plains will pivot eastward toward the southern Appalachians by Wednesday morning. Moderate deep layer southwesterly flow will maintain a warm advection regime across the central/eastern Gulf coast vicinity. At the surface, a weak low is expected to develop east/northeast across the northern Gulf, just offshore from southeast LA and southern MS/AL before tracking across northern FL late in the period. A warm front will likely remain offshore, perhaps hugging coastal portions of the FL Panhandle, while a cold front sweeps east/southeast into across the western and central Gulf. Thunderstorms are expected near and north of the warm front, but this activity should largely remain elevated. Instability will be weak near the FL Panhandle and surface-based storm development appears unlikely, precluding severe probabilities at this time. ..Leitman.. 03/01/2021
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