SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Outlook Image

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1109 AM CST Tue Mar 02 2021

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Wednesday.

...Synopsis...
A mid-level low located to the west of southern CA/Baja Wednesday
morning will move east and reach southern UT/northern AZ by daybreak
Thursday.  Showers and a few weak thunderstorms are forecast over
the eastern Pacific in association with the mid-level cold pocket. 
This area of activity will probably move ashore coastal southern CA
during the late morning through mid afternoon as strong large-scale
ascent and modestly steep lapse rates overspread southern coastal
CA.  
Farther east, a weakening mid-level shortwave trough will depart the
Carolina coast during the morning.  A rain shield is forecast for
coastal SC during the morning within a zone of strong low-level warm
air advection well north of a surface frontal zone.  Near and south
of the front, weak instability may enable a low chance for a couple
of thunderstorms over the central portion of the FL Peninsula
primarily during the morning hours before weakening
convergence/upper support diminish by the early afternoon.

..Smith.. 03/02/2021

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