Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0326 AM CST Tue Mar 02 2021 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... Severe potential will remain low for much of the Day 4-8 period. Persistent surface high pressure east of the Rockies, and a cold front dropping southward across the much of the Gulf of Mexico will result in dry and stable conditions. Toward the end of the period, an upper trough is forecast to develop southward along the Pacific coast and shift eastward to the Plains. While forecast guidance varies in the exact evolution and timing of this feature, associated strong surface cyclogenesis could result in a deeper northward transport of Gulf moisture and possible strong-to-severe thunderstorm development around Day 8/Tue or just beyond the forecast period from the southern Plains toward the MS Valley.
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