SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0653 PM CST Tue Mar 02 2021 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Showers and a few thunderstorms will continue tonight, from the mouth of the Mississippi River east-northeastward to southern South Carolina and northern Florida. ...Discussion... Widespread rain/rain showers continue across a large portion of the Southeast at this time, with a few embedded thunderstorms from the northeastern Gulf of Mexico eastward to the Gulf Stream off the South Carolina/Georgia/northern Florida coasts. The convection is occurring near and to the north of the west-to-east surface cool front, and an associated frontal wave southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River that is moving eastward toward northern Florida. The convection is ongoing within a zone of low-level warm advection/QG forcing, and will continue as the parent upper low crosses the Mid South/central Gulf Coast states this evening, before reach Georgia late. With instability weak, and convection largely rooted above a shallow, stable boundary layer, severe storms are not expected. ..Goss.. 03/03/2021
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