SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0653 PM CST Tue Mar 02 2021

Valid 030100Z - 031200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Showers and a few thunderstorms will continue tonight, from the
mouth of the Mississippi River east-northeastward to southern South
Carolina and northern Florida.

...Discussion...
Widespread rain/rain showers continue across a large portion of the
Southeast at this time, with a few embedded thunderstorms from the
northeastern Gulf of Mexico eastward to the Gulf Stream off the
South Carolina/Georgia/northern Florida coasts.  The convection is
occurring near and to the north of the west-to-east surface cool
front, and an associated frontal wave southeast of the mouth of the
Mississippi River that is moving eastward toward northern Florida.

The convection is ongoing within a zone of low-level warm
advection/QG forcing, and will continue as the parent upper low
crosses the Mid South/central Gulf Coast states this evening, before
reach Georgia late.  With instability weak, and convection largely
rooted above a shallow, stable boundary layer, severe storms are not
expected.

..Goss.. 03/03/2021

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